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What's next for KSM?

posted 2007.03.23 Friday

The New York Times reports that the U.S. government does plan to try to bring some semblance of law back into the picture with regard to KSM:

The base at Guantánamo holds about 385 prisoners, among them 14 senior leaders of Al Qaeda, including Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, who were transferred to it last year from secret prisons run by the Central Intelligence Agency.  Under the Pentagon’s current plans, some prisoners, including Mr. Mohammed, will face war crimes charges under military trials that could begin later this year.

"War crime" is maybe the ultimate oxymoron.  How can one break the law during a state of war?  It is insensible, an abuse of language and meaning.  Normally, yes, it can be valuable to signal that certain actions by others will be met with certain responses.  However, in war you are already out to kill your enemies without inquiring into their actions; signaling that you will also kill them if they do something really awful does nothing to alter their mental calculus, and thus it does not help to bring about order.

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1. Jeff Lonsdale left...
2007.03.26 Monday 7:41 pm

War crime is definitely a useful concept for centralized warfare. It makes sure that people kept civilians out of war/didn't kill prisoners/etc or face possible extra consequences later on. Of course, these consequences only occured if they were on the losing side of the war so they might discount the punishment by 50% (or higher depending on morale). At the end of such a war the enemy is more likely to surrender en mass than die en mass and so warcrimes are something that both sides need to consider. (It also needed to consider the plain fact that if one side kills or tortures prisoners of war then others are less likely to surrender, causing more deaths on both sides - so comitting the crime of mistreating prisoners of war has other incentives preventing it.)

Only in this new decentralized warfare does things such as "warcrimes" make much less sense, as terrorism's main tactics are basically all warcrimes. There is also a larger chance that the fighters on the decentralized side can just blend back into the populace more easily (They aren't out fighting on any front where they can be captured) and so they can ignore the idea of warcrimes almost completely. However, it might make sense for the US to act still within this "warcrime" framework if it expects that there is a chance that there will be warfare with centralized armies sometime in the future... or considering the low likelihood of that... if the US wants to signal that it will honor other international agreements it has made.


2. Jason Briggeman left...
2007.03.26 Monday 7:48 pm

I agree almost completely; my post took the predominance of "total war" as a given, which is defensible but probably should have been explained.

Hey, I know I said to you that fighting a centralized army seems improbable, but actually, the U.S. could be fighting a centralized army soon, in Iran. Perhaps it doesn't seem like a possibility because we are conditioned not to think of ourselves as an aggressor nation...